Saturday, June 14, 2014

Independence day - closer, than the Clippers sales




There was a film made at 1996. Will Smith was great in that!





At 1996 our current president of the United States was 37 years old. He worked as a civil rights attorney at that time… He went to see this movie and for sure he decided that one time he would have to save the whole World!








However there was a small problem… That was again a white guy, who saved the World! Since Sammy Davis Jr. was acting in the “Rufus Jones for President” at 1933, there were several Afro-American presidents to save the United States and even the entire World!
But my favorite was Morgan Freeman in the “Deep Impact”… That time Barack was representing the 13th district (lucky number right?) of the Illinois State and had no success to enter to the House of Representatives…

Freeman was not so tall and handsome as Barack, but look at his body language, smart, rational and able to convince the people, that him, and only him can save the World!

Am I mistaken, if I suspect Barack those times to stand in front of the mirror trying to imitate Morgan? Let’s agree – I would not be far from the truth…



"Day of Russia" kicked off yesterday… In popular language in Russia they also call this day, as the “day of independence”… However Russia since the Tatar’s invasion was mostly independent… So the day refers on signing of the documents of the State Sovereignty of the Russian Federation on a sunshiny day in June 1990…

By the way this day also remembered as the final day of the Soviet Empire…


Here you are the group photo about that particular day....





But let's come back to Mr. Freeman - it is a fact, that the US has never came into a situation to save the World yet.

But your should remember well the name of Stanislav Yevgrafovich Petrov. On September 26, 1983, he was the duty officer at the command center for the “Oko” nuclear early-warning system when the system reported that a missile was being launched from the United States.

Petrov judged the report to be a false alarm, and his decision is credited with having prevented an erroneous retaliatory nuclear attack on the United States and its NATO allies that could have resulted in large-scale nuclear war. Investigation later confirmed that the satellite warning system had indeed malfunctioned. (from wikipedia)







I hope you like this guy… Hollywood did not like him yet… So there is no film about him saving the World from a real nuclear war… For his misfortune he was not an American and not as handsome as Morgan Freeman.




But lets go back to our original topic…

Since Ronnie Reagan all the US presidents taking the oval office are implanted with the vision of being responsible for the entire World.

Just like our good old Superman…




Most probably the US public wanted to see them like this. But did those guys ever thought, that other folks around the World might not be so enthusiastic about this?










I kept shut up in my blog for a while, as could not keep up with all the mess around our little globe.
Last time we were talking about Syria. And Mr. Kerry suggested to knock the current regime out and to support the Syrian rebels...

Then now suddenly those Syrian rebels start to become criminals. And cruel islamic foreign mercenaries... Since they have attacked and keeping under control nearly one third of Iraq…

Fantastic – and this came as a huge surprise for the great NSA. Who obviously still keener to listen Angela, the allies and what is going on in your bedroom than some problematic places…


The Iraq army was so well trained, that after the first big woahhh from the rebels, two army divisions armed with the most modern US technology have manage to run away and vanish so fast, that the rebels could even collect their shoes together with all their brand new shiny US military equipment…

Few hundred guys shooed away and made to melt down all the army forces around Mosul… Great!!!


You guys made a great contribution for Russia! Think about this for a moment…

The oil price is up!  (No worry later it will also be down, when the dollar will go upJ)… And will keep going down and up up. For sure… Just to burn down few more refineries in Iraq… You can bet!


 First time in the history the whole World pays not only the US war games, but also they will pay this time the Russians for Crimea and the “sanctions” and the whole Ukrainian “adventure”…

Can you hear how the money flows???? You know where it flows now Mr. Kerry?



Please say big thanks to Mr. Kerry – the master of foreign politics!

He supposed to have not plastic, but probably brain surgery... Do you agree with me?












So far so good… As we can see now it is such a mess all around, that it is hard to find where to look…

In my favorite Bangkok – hmmm military rule;
In other all time favorite – hmmm… how to call this? Why you had to send Mubarak to the hospital?

Syria… Who won the elections? Just that you have now over hundred thousand killed and millions on run. Great!!!
 
Yemen?
Kabul?
Karachi?
Doneck?
Nigeria?
Libya?
Sudan?
Pyongyang?




Do we have any other place to screw up? No.. matter fact there is not much left...

How long time it will take to our Presidents instead of fighting the devil and the evil, and making the multiple acts of exorcisms, to put together that not so complicated puzzle in the region and make all this guys to talk to each other…

Or they might have no interest for this? I mean not those guys in there, but another ones, who got some different ideas around the Congress right? Monsanto? McDonalds? Pfizer, Merck, Microsoft, Exxon, GE and you name it…


And then some big fat boy on the CNN tries to explain to me, that we see the things not right… What is right?

Where is that global stability we are always promised about Mr. President? 

Time to think a bit… And open your ears… And go back and think again.

And before you start to believe, that the II. World War started by D-day, better you start to evaluate yourself as you are and what you are…

Otherwise posing in the mirror will not help anymore – even you want to look like that macho Morgan Freeman…


As this is in here a real world!

 
And remember one golden rule!








Prevention is better, than cure… That should be the main rule of international politics… Why it is not yet implemented…

That is a good question.





Self-restriction is the best way for prevention!

Otherwise what kind of example you show for others… It is time now to start to practice the self restriction…

And you got not much time for further delay... Otherwise 

What?

Asia will overgrow you 3 times, then they will play with you the mouse and the cat game… And they will have the same fantasy as you now, that they are the ruler of the World!

Think about it…






But lets go back a bit to some economy…

And let me have just a moment.

Once upon a time as a young economist I had a pleasure to have a session of economics with one of my professors… It was not a very ordinary place for lectures, but it happened. In a small pub behind our University… A wine pub… There were not many students, only those, who liked that cheap white wine…


Do you like this photo?   I love that Fiat from Poland – called “Polski Fiat” – an icon from our time of 70s and 80s…

So the professor said plenty of useful things… But one stays with me even now.

He said – there is no dead economy. 





Every economy works – this or that way. This is the nature of the economy. Any economy...

You must only find out what is the better way for the economy to work!
 


Hmmm… stop for a moment – don't you think this is the main question for anyone to find out? Or you think I am a bloody foul right? Together with that professor…

Since that day sometimes at early 1983 this idea made me obsessed… Do we know how to make the economy working better?



Are we sure, that all our American supermen want the economy to work better?


Or they just want to make sure that they always save someone... If there is no one to save, they will make sure to create a situation where they can. Am I right Mr. Superman?


What does it mean for an economy to work better?


Think about it… What does it mean better?

You must hate me, but I still will take you back in time… The time, when the first revolution happened – at least the first one we know about…

We go back for about 4.500 years… We shall take a look into the kingdom of the Sumerian city of Lagash. (Uhh sounds like goulash right?)

Here the king Lugalanda based his power on the church. The priests for many years have gained an extreme power and they also had control over the king himself. The priests also took over majority of the land and controlled every kind of business, like fishing or trading. They kept for themselves higher and higher portions of goods in form of taxes.

In the city of Lagash there was no money yet. People exchanged their goods. In Lagash the people lived very poorly. After sometimes the people turned against the priests and the king,. They have selected a new king.
Urukagina first replaced all the corrupt officials and priests. He also reduced the taxes and guaranteed the property.

We can regard Urukagina as the first economic reformer in the known history and also the first person freeing his own people and introducing a legal code for this purpose.

Urukagina’s reforms did not lived long, as after 8 years of rein Lugalzaggesi the ruler of Umma defeated him. And united the Mesopotamian states.

So what is the point on this first recorded economic problem?

It is simple…

Urukagina came to power due to the wrong way of re-distribution… Why he could not keep his new system longer?

We do not really know. But we can guess…

The economic system he built was good for the people, but was not efficient enough…

Lugalzagesi must have had a more efficient system. He not only could keep calm his own people, but he could manage to have a stronger army and better administration…

So what we need for a successful economy?

I will make you confused for a moment…

Nothing what you have seen as the economic indicators so often mentioned!

You need a proper system of redistribution and an efficiency growth…

Efficiency growth does not necessarily means nominal growth.. Right? So anything else is only fairy tales.


There is a prime minister in Small Sumerian land, who got the idea to reduce the costs of living for the people… However those costs are mainly market driven. So at the end of the day the infrastructure shall go down if we want to reduce those costs…

Next door to that country every other prime minister tries to increase the income for their people…

Which way you would choose?

And how you can increase the income of your people?

a/. Change the patterns of the re-distribution… take from wealthy and give to the poor… Or take from one wealthy and give to another wealthy?

I think this is not the best idea…

At least not the second one… By the way the poor will not finance your election campaign, so in a developing country they prefer to feed up their own wealthy, so they can help in any election outcome… It is also an ancient pattern... "panem et circenses"... It is cheaper to entertain the people by ideology and a bits of wealth, than to feed them properly... At least for sometimes...

So making fundamental changes in redistribution will take a lot of time and change in brain capacity to perform it… Lets see the other option...

b/. Make your economy more efficient…

Our today economic pattern is the growth… Yes, the growth can help many times… But the growth is something you cannot follow all the time…

You can hear often, that if the consumption does not go up, than the economy will be in trouble, than the Japanese and the Germans were the bad guys, as they like to save instead of spending…

My grandma said, “Easy money easy go”… So my fellow Americans it is time to think about the sentence of my Transylvanian grandma…


Until you do not learn the value of the money, you will always spend it easy… In fact you will spend always more, than you have earned…




And then you start to take that money from someone else, and then you need to have growth, to avoid the reduction of your consumption and to be able to repay your debt…





And if there is no growth, then you go bankrupt and you make sure others will also go bankrupt and at the end of the day all those guys, who landed you that extra money for you to spend over your capacity are the ones, who will pay your bills. And if not, than what?

Then you make all those troubles we were talking about at the first half of this blog…

You can call this a vicious circle… right?

No you do not need to call it so…



Especially not for those guys, like this old crazy guy – Donald Sterling… the old pervert, who hardly can open his mouth, but still talking bullshit and does not want to sell his Clippers for 2 billion dollars… It is not much money for a club, which he bought back in 80’s for 12,5 million.

Do you know why he does not want to sell that club?

That half dead guy does not like to pay taxes!!!!!

You know what is tax? It is the tool to operate an expensive administration and also in some rare places of the World is the tool to keep some acceptable level of living for your own population… You know, we called that redistribution right?


So as far as the reach do not like to pay taxes or in other word they do not like to share their wealth with the poor, we need to find another way around…

The moment we do not push the growth, we also do not stimulate the big fat bellies to grow among our nation. And we do not stimulate over spending in general…

So than how we can get out of this problem?

We stimulate the efficiency! And here we came back on point b/. of this post…
 
How we do so, I will let you think till next time…

And I hope there will not be more crisis situations, so I will not be all the time depressed of all this rubbish going on around our beautiful World…




 And sorry, I could not resist to present to you with Mme Sterling... Yes, the wife... 

Can you believe, that she can spend 2 billion in her remaining life?










Friday, May 16, 2014

Good Morning Vietnaaaam! Could it be an own goal?

Good Morning Vietnam!

I love Vietnam since so many years. And I have the reason to love Vietnam. Not only one, but many reasons.

I am coming from a country, which is 10 times smaller, than Vietnam. My country has got a much shorter history, but nearly as turbulent as the 5000 years of the history of Vietnam.

There is one similarity. My country was never a big country – sometimes it was stronger, and sometimes it was bigger – but all the time it had to live with some kind of bigger brothers… Or in other words it had to live in the mouth of the lion... Great fun right?


When I was young, one day my father came back home and said, that he has to postpone his trip to China. The reason was, that the situation in Beijing become tense. The Chinese decided to pour full lorries of shit into the garden of the embassy of our small nation.

As a boy I was passing by the Chinese Embassy in my city nearly every day. I asked my father – why we don’t do the same to them? Why they are doing this to our people? He answered – you know some politics… Our nation they are not like Chinese – we do not feel happy to revenge on the people, who have nothing to do with what’s happening in Beijing… We do not want to show bad example… I saw few guys days later planting flowers - in front of the Chinese Embassy... Hmmm...


We are about to speak economics, as usual…

Vietnam has a long history and even a longer tradition.






Also long experience in coexisting with a Big brother.

Just like my own country… In our place we had for many years a survival tactic. We always made the big Brother to feel happy. Yes, do not feel ashamed to try to make him happy! This does not mean, that you need to give up your thoughts  - exactly the opposite… Our tactic was to make happy the Big Brother and make as much as possible advantage of him! Keep smiling!
 
I see some worrying signs – some JV’s are looted, burned, the news reported some fatalities…

It should be very much clear. Whatever is on the territory of your country, no matter who built or operates it, it is for the benefit of your country, unless it is built and operated on an illegal way…






So destroying properties built on your own land is simply destroying the wealth of your own country and people… I have many friends who love football... They call this an OWN GOAL!

Who is able think just a bit for its own country, they will give a priority to the stability - to make sure it is kept that way at any time…








Anti-foreigner sentiment what for?.

Once for a while every nation learns, that the foreigners, who live in their country are the future ambassadors of the country. They are the ones, who can speak with much stronger voice to their own compatriots, much stronger than you ever thought! Please keep the foreigner or in other words your future ambassadors representing your own country safe!


Do you remember Peter the Great? 


For any foreigner you should teach him about your culture, show for him your values, generosity and your reach culture and make sure he feels sympathy to you!



Remember the history! How many times some Chinese nobles teamed up for the sake of Vietnamese freedom? How many victories were achieved by proper tactics and strategy. Did ever the open confrontation worked? The only tactics worked is to make your own enemy divided! Did ever the destruction of your own lead to any good?



Those who try to escalate all these troubles must be exclusively on the side of your own enemy.

Did anyone realized how much money this lovely country lost within last 10 days just through its stock exchange?

Do not let the emotions lead your action. Think first!

If you want to react, always react in the most smart and effective way.

What can be done?

Simple:

Stop the big brother to sell his sub standard crap;
Stop them to sell fake goods, especially;
Stop them to sell for you fake chemicals, fake medicine, fake milk and;
Stop them to pour on you all the artificial food and other absolutely harmful substances;

But think for a moment – why it was not stopped yet? Because there is always a local company, who will make sure they can import all this crap!

And you can also fight against import of the
corruption, the primitivism, the fake consumer society, the fake values and the bad manners…

All coming from where?  Yepp, you are right – from there… From those BIG-BIG brothers - as usual! 

Stop the economic, financial, cultural and ethical exploitation of your country! 







Why a year ago in the Big country they have attacked the Japanese businesses – is this what Vietnam has to learn from the big country?

Did anyone explained how many million dollars did this cost for the big brother? Can anyone restore the trust? How many years it will take to restore it?


Can this small brave country afford to behave like its big neighbor? Is this the right action? Why always the bad spread so fast and the good stays behind?


Think about this…






All over the World there is a common law. Since 10 thousand years. Even if someone is your enemy, but they seek your asylum in your house, you have to protect those if necessary even by your own life…

Please think for a moment – who are the foreigners working in your homeland?

This people (at least the majority of them) came with their best intention to do something in your own country. Meaning, in your own house!
 


There is only one solution to be done – to take care of them and help them to understand you, and in worst case to send them home with a hope, that they shall be able to explain how much their own government is wrong!





The patriotism is a very good thing – but it should not lead to the destruction of your own properties and also not to threatening the lives of people, who have absolutely nothing to do with the decisions of their own countryman!








I spent many years in this lovely country with no fear and with love… Please let others to have the same faith!

Do not let the emotions drag you to do something, which you will regret bitterly. Never forget – all this just makes a very bad effect on you and by this it helps your enemy…


Think about this…